Outliers: The Story of Success · chapter 1 · id outliers-c1-02-the-expected-birth-distributio
“The expected birth distribution is roughly 25% per quarter, so any deviation from this represents the relative age effect.”
CONTESTEDconfidence: high⚠ extracted by pipeline, re-audit pending
Receipts
Deaner, Lowen & Cobley (2013), Evolution and Human BehaviorFLAGGED: DOI not in registry
When correcting for actual population birth distributions (more babies born in certain months, with a September peak in Canada), the RAE is still present but approximately 20-30% smaller than raw numbers suggest.
Statistics Canada -- birth distribution datasource alive
Canadian births are not uniformly distributed across months. September is the peak birth month due to December/January conception patterns.
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